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TOO BIG TO FAIL analyzes the top two holdings of major funds, ETFs, pensions, and retirement portfolios.
It calculates how much tracked fund capital is invested in each qualifying security, then compares that amount with the company’s market capitalization.
These Capital to Market Cap Scores are normalized to create the model portfolio’s allocations.
LINE SHADING REVEALER compares pre-game betting prices with actual game outcomes to find price ranges that historically returned more than they cost.
It groups comparable bets by sport, side, and price, calculates the return for each group, then divides the qualifying bets chronologically into ten equal slices to show whether the advantage remained consistent over time or came from a short-lived streak.
By continuously arbitraging discrepancies between Kalshi and traditional sportsbooks, automated trading systems keep the two markets closely aligned, allowing persistent pricing patterns to expose systematic sportsbook line shading.
POKER BASIC STRATEGY is a simple mental model with surprising accuracy which determines the near exact % chance of winning a poker hand.
It purposely does not calculate sizing or other variables to maintain its simplicity for a mental model anyone can use.
TOO BACKED TO FAIL analyzes the top two holdings of all 50 states, federal,
and military retirement plan holdings.
It calculates how much tracked fund capital is invested in each qualifying security, then allocates the portfolio based on the information retrieved.
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